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The difference this time is they are going to turn on the printer much earlier. There’s an infinite amount of paper that can be printed hence the price can go up just the same.
Yes. It’s going to be a whipsaw. A short, sharp drop and then intense stagflation
yes but that will bring the income up (blue line) so the theory still stands
@TheBrizzo64 Last time they were printing into a deflationary bust. I think with inflation like this and what’s coming wages typically don’t keep up.
Yup! A sugar rush till the bond rise in yield! Then mortgages will be 15% or higher to tame the inflation. That would crash everything 😂
Hyperinflation left the chat.
Unfortunately a cheaper home with an HOA is a terrible idea IMHO!
Agreed! 🎉🎉
I’ll NEVER buy in an HOA. Worst decision EVER.
@Su-Jo Me neither. I can’t believe people pay money to be told what they can and can’t do with their own house. I can understand the town homes and condos though, but I would never buy one of those anyway.
@kirkpalmer1709 “or else you wikll have security problem”
HOA is worst than the chinese communists
All this crap was overpriced. Builders were ripping people off for decades. Rigging labor markets and supressing wages is also making homes less affordable for everyone.
A better measure for value is rent vs piti. Run that from before ’08 & today. Most mortgage payments with taxes, insurance & ant maintenance fees are at least double. Back into the value with today 30 fixed rate mortgage & you’ll see that value is over priced by a factor of 2. The replacement cost index is not correct. Those are all paper expenses & not real ones. All new large volume builders are technically owner financing their stuff with their own mortgage companies. In the old days we discounted those comps by quite a bit. DONT BUY. Wait. This is going to be a while 5 years or so.
What good is a 2.5% mortgage if you no longer have a job and can’t find a new one? No job=no income=no mortgage payment.
People with a $2.5% mortgage can rent their garage and cashflow the property 😂
@kraxkill4747 They’ll do better if THEY live in the garage and rent out the house to a tenant. 😂🤣
@TexasRiverRat31254funny af
What percentage of foreclosures are air b n bs? Just like in 08 when many had multiple homes to rent out, today many people have multiple short term rental properties that are not profitable.
Whytf are they hoarding so many properties?
Because of the Fed playing with money printing and low interest rates, plus institutional single-family home purchases, you have to be a genius to know when to buy a home and not get scalped. Just let the market decide the prices, no govt. interference, and no institutional purchases.
Dave Ramsey promised me the price of houses will NOT come down
What did the magic 8 ball tell you?
Pish posh, Robert kiyosaki himself promised me, then he put 3 fingers in my butt.
Dave Ramsey😅The fiat money defender.
😂 He also says not to buy Gold or Silver
He’s right
Yeah, I’m sure the tax assessors won’t lower your property taxes for two or three more years.
Ya mysteriously the inflated housing prices benefits them
FED will keep printing.
Where is that money going to? Certainly not for house buying.
The “value” had dropped but not the prices!!
For the price to drop we need another 5 years. Look again at the chart in the video and extrapolate.
We are upside-down in our home due to flat prices and it needing a lot of work since we moved in. My neighbors have abandoned their home but its still not in foreclosure. Houses are still being bought but for 20-30k under their “Zillow” pricing. If we tried to sell we’d take a massive loss, probably 10k at this point.
Don’t buy right now if renting is less than buying in your area.
Not to be too crazy here but 10k isn’t really massive. If the market is correcting, you could cut your losses and run instead of go down with the ship. Might take another 20 years for those prices to recover to what you want.
Yeah, 10k is a minimal loss when talking about a house. Most people would lose more than that selling their cars.
Today is worst than 2006-2009. Rates higher, home insurance probably tripled, HOA’s doubled, maintenance and repairs doubled. Owning a home is just not the mortgage payment.
Real estate is local not national. Interest rates are coming down, people will buy more. Stick to stocks
Also, don’t forget the automatic 7% cost in selling the house through commissions, repairs, staging, etc.
Zillow’s data sucks. People quickly seem to forget that they claimed to be a “media/marketing company” and adamantly declined that they wanted to be a real estate company. Then they copied data, slapped an estimate on the entire country and told owners they should “fix” the zestimate. They are a market disruption company and are untrustworthy sources of data.
Here in the Netherlands, we have 850 billion in mortgases, but the total home prices are 2.2 trillion.
When a big amount of home owners, sell their homes with 150% profit, the bubble burst. They can buy back way cheaper in a very short period. Their equity then, enters the real economy. Wich will cause way more inflation.
That is why we have so many migrants. Preventing the bubble from popping.
Banks are doing the impossible to not foreclose on borrowers, one of my co-workers has not pay her mortgage for almost a year and she has not received a foreclosure notice yet. Banks don’t want your underwater property. Also if builders keep selling with a ton of concessions and reporting a high selling price, tax assessments will never go down and local governments love it.
Massive price drops everywhere here in Florida!