Powerful Recession Indicator Was Just Triggered (Investors Shouldn’t Ignore This)

ByCameron Long

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Cameron Long

Cameron Long

Cameron is a seasoned CFO and CPA with 31 years in finance. He created the AI Trader's Playbook to help everyday investors use AI to find high-confidence trades — in minutes, not hours.

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56 Comments

    2. He’s definitely been early. And in the world of investing being early is the same as being wrong. But the red flags are there.

      Reply

    3. The market crash talk in March had me panic-sell part of my shrinking portfolio. While searching for solutions, I found a convo here and got a game-changing tip and connected with advisor Shannon Renee Hogan. After looking her up and working with her, my $250k portfolio grew by 40% last quarter, and this quarter is looking just as strong.

      Reply

    4. The market crash talk in March had me panic-sell part of my shrinking portfolio. While searching for solutions, I found a convo here and got a game-changing tip and connected with advisor Shannon Renee Hogan. After looking her up and working with her, my $250k portfolio grew by 40% last quarter, and this quarter is looking just as strong.

      Reply

  3. Very informative video! However, George neglected another option for the government which is the, ‘Wag the Dog’ option and use a ‘false flag event’ to blame a large stock market crash on some extraneous event which the government itself created. One way or another the debt bomb must be resolved and once a few major players are unable or unwilling to make their payments there will be a rapid cascading of events that will quickly approach critical mass. Then Frank Zappa’s quote describes what will then happen: “The illusion of freedom will continue as long as it’s profitable to continue the illusion. At the point where the illusion becomes too expensive to maintain, they will just take down the scenery, they will pull back the curtains, they will move the tables and chairs out of the way and you will see the brick wall at the back of the theater.”

    Reply

  4. Isn’t our labor market being 70% consumption a problem in itself? At some point don’t we need to produce something?

    Reply

    2. We have a ton of farm land & mainly export soy beans, wheat & corn. Fighter jets are also part of our main exports for Europe & Australia.

      Reply

    3. @@dankwolf442 but it doesn’t look like we’ll be exporting any crops. China refuses to buy our soybeans and farmers are going bankrupt.

      Reply

    4. @@TaraShepherd-c3gyeah this whole tariff thing is ruining the economy since no one wants to deal with bullies or isolationists. Hopefully the next president undoes some damage to the relationships with our trading partners.

      Reply

    5. Soybeans are huge endocrine destroyers, which fuels population decline and crazy soy boys globally!!!!! Of course no one wants our soy!

      Reply

  5. Jobs are QUICKLY(historically) speaking becoming almost extinct !!!
    Modern high tech, robotics, AI !!!!!!!
    How can they not MOSTLY DISAPPEAR?!!!
    The masses seem to know this, shown by the declining below replacement, western world birthrate !!!
    Growing population is old world economic given/need !!! That dictum is a path to catastrophic poverty, starvation, & pandemic !!!

    Reply

  6. We’re already in a recession, we never came out of it.

    Been in it since 2008, nearly came out of the worst of it by 2018, but then sunk deeper into it during the events of 2020.

    Reply

    2. @@flyingiguana409 Yes, it’s two consecutive quarters of negative growth, we’ve had it WAY longer than that.

      Just because they tell you figures look a certain way, it doesn’t mean they are true.

      “Lies, damn lies and statistics” is a very old adage and remains relevant for a reason.

      All you have to do is look on the street and you can see all the empty commercial units, especially in shopping centres.

      I go by what I see and not what I’m told.

      COVID made everyone believe that caused all the closures, but the reality was, many of those businesses were already on the way out and many of the units had already closed.

      They just don’t want to announce a recession and hope everyone doesn’t notice before its too late.

      Boiling frog syndrome.

      Reply

    3. @@flyingiguana409 If you adjust for money supply and stock buy backs on low interest rates this is objectively true bro. Take a look at how quality of life is doing for most people.

      Reply

    1. Two individuals with full-time work plus both have self employed businesses too! No wonder no one has the time to get married, date, or have children!!!

      Reply

    1. The US mint discontinued pennies and the nickel is next. There can be “money printing” but it means nothing.

      Reply

  9. Considering the huge downward revisions in the numbers, they should change the name of the report from the Non-Farm Payrolls to the Non-Payrolls.

    Reply

  13. I doubt you read these. The fed is funneling money to the Cayman Islands and buying the bonds faking demand. That’s why rates are going down. The only one buying t bills are the banks and they are loading up on 1 month. Something is coming.

    Reply

    1. They are about to start WW3 to consolidate their enslavement of humanity. We are all slaves to the big shareholding families. No matter how many times you call yourself a capitalist, if you work for a paycheque you are a SLAVE.

      Reply

  14. Old man told me in the depression that they had no money ,but goods were there to buy he then said the next one everyone would have money and there would be few items to buy

    Reply

  16. George, you self-doubt the impact of your own analysis.
    You don’t see the full picture.
    Just to clarify, I’m neither a bull or a bear, just a student of markets and cycles.
    Firstly, the central planners only react after the fact, after the stock market damage had been done (confirmed by historic evidence)
    Secondly, the current era of automated and high frequency trading (algo’s) + AI and machine learning will accellerate the market decline worse than in 2020’s flash crash. So, it will be quick, deep and brutal!
    Thirdly, mean reversion of s&p 500 is a high probability, which implies going back all the way to monthly 200 SMA. Why? Because it is two standard devations above long term average.
    So, you your analysis of what is coming is correct, whether a recession for a financial shock, doesn’t matter, but the reset is coming.
    You just need to have conviction in the magnitude, which you don’t.

    Reply

  18. 18:55 Asset prices are only important to a finalized bubble of an economy we are living in right now. They have zero or even negative impact on the real economy.

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    Reply

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