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was wondering about this, didn’t they do this exact same move last time?
@xilongcao8854 sounds like the big short all over again but this time maybe it isnt the housing market but maybe commercial realestate or treasure notes? Kerie trade still has to finish flushing out impacts. Yen is so volatile.
My bank contacted me about investing opportunities. Last time that happened was in december 2007 lol
@Leopardipzg personally, I’ve move as much as possible to cd or other liquid forms away from stock and capital investments. Just waiting till the political dance finishes in Jan 2025
@@Leopardipzg did the bank say what kind of instrument they want you to hold the bag for?
old school Gammon white board, these are the best.
did gammon ever explain why financial collapse didnt happen yet despite the fact that he has been saying it could happen any day now for years on end? just two more weeks guys
Indeed. I didn’t realise how much I’ve missed them. Great stuff!
@@Jordy6669 cycles take time and there’s no guarantee. You want to bet against history then sure that’ll be your bet
@@Jordy6669 The yield curve has to un-invert first and even then it takes some time for the recession to truly hit. Three of the last four recessions it has taken over two years to do so, often 30 months, the only exception being 2019 which was a lot quicker.
Jerome even said the illegal aliens are hurting the economy. Bout damn time.
Mneanwhile, Janet Yellen has said that if we deported all the illegal immigrants it’ll reunited inflation.
Again the bankers seemed to have the poor focused on blaming anyone but them
This is when you know this economy is terrible, when they blame it on illegals.@@ThatRandomYoutuber28
@@ThatRandomYoutuber28Doesn’t negate the fact they are a problem.
19th Amendment is also ruining the economy
The Fed doesn’t make mistakes, they giveth and taketh
They’ve failed to avoid a recession every time they cut rates since the 90’s.
It’s called being data dependent, not forward looking. They are not even the ones giving and taking. Look at the private banks…
Not a mistake if you wNt a crash to introduce cbdc
👏
I am withdrawing cash…enjoy your cbdc serfdom
Lol, cbdc isn’t what you think our is. Everything is already tracked electronically…
@@FeelingPeculiar good luck with that
@@FeelingPeculiar No it isn’t. Physical dollars are highly speculative, there’s market sizes that the govt has no idea of because they DO NOT have jurisdiction outside the US to monitor all transactions… wake tf up.
Even if we had cbdc, it would not change the fact that transitioning would be super difficult and many people would suffer from the transition. It’s not in the govt’s best interest given the current state of the economy, and an over-reliance on technology is proving to create ineffective workplaces today, so it’s likely we don’t go onto a cbdc anytime soon.
Zombie corporations dropping like flies over the next six quarters.
During rate cut time. Nah don’t think so. But maybe I’m missing something.
At least that much healthy housecleaning gets done.
I just realized that George Gammon is the only macroeconomist (that I know of) that has good speaking and social skills.
aaaannnddd they should
Warren Buffett seems to know something is coming with his massive sales.
it’s only a mistake if it was not intentional
Hyperinflation is coming soon
Buy gold!!!
Nope.. We’re not even close…
Inflation is good… greed is good… if you are a tax collecting, fee charging government.
Will hyperinflstion happen to Australia too?
@@These-times-are-awesomeYes
Lowering rates does increase the money supply. The whole idea is to drive people further into debt with teaser rates.
They don’t make mistakes.
Going according to plan
George, Feds prolly gunna just push the printer and go Brrrr.
No, they won’t
They can not until massive emergencies.
Another 1990s phenomenon that is not like today… a few years of balanced budgets
George, this is laid out really well. One of your best. Thank you for thorough historical view.
No cut was needed. So now it’s another upcoming decade of punishing savers. The Treasury needed a .50 Becuz they are primarily funding the govt with short term debt. So the FED is doing YCC and playing politics.
The whiteboard always makes your data look crystal clear, please keep the whiteboards coming they are your calling card. Bravo!
Powell should be jailed for ever. Yellen too.
To save the dollar the Fed must increase rates but to save jobs the Fed must cut rates. Either greater inflation or greater business bankruptcies and greater unemployment. We may see inflation going to hyperinflation.
Money printed > assets and goods expensive > wages still low compared to price increases > labor cheap > lot’s of hiring > low unemployment
This is literally the only reason why the unemployment rate has been low. This has been literally the case every single time.
Unemployment is a lot higher than the official stats suggest. Those figures from the FED are heavily massaged.
And lagging also!
Too much government is the problem. Too much government spending is the problem. And debt, that promise, can only be brought down with negative real rates. As long as the government spends money, inflation is a proxy for paying for unfunded government.
When George Gammong laughts, maaan he looks so confident and professional. I love the way he laughs!