This Is Exactly What Happens Right Before Housing PRICES DROP

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Cameron Long

Cameron Long

Cameron is a seasoned CFO and CPA with 31 years in finance. He created the AI Trader's Playbook to help everyday investors use AI to find high-confidence trades — in minutes, not hours.

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59 Comments

  1. 11:40 Avoiding the elephant in the room. You had a net inflow of 20M+ people over the past 4 years (and the govt handing those people money for housing) with housing being built for assuming more and now you quickly shifted to the opposite.

    1. Will 100 million illegals leave ? When the USA is poor like Brazil /be Venezuela? Nobody is talking about everyone leaving in that scenario

    2. People leaving are not high skilled workers. Poor and less educated U.S. citizens will have greater opportunities for jobs.

    1. @@kimbuck-2 this comment means that buying a house is not truly “buying a house” if you have to take out a loan to make the purchase.

    2. I will add that titles of homes are not like vehicle titles. When you purchase a home, your name is on the title not the bank, you actually own it. However your house is collateral for the loan so that if you ever default, the bank can foreclose on the loan and take the asset. The loan and the house are separate. You can legally sign over/sell the title to someone else while the mortgage remains in your name, you can’t do that with a vehicle that has a loan.

    1. It wasn’t until 2009 that home prices really crashed, but the comparison to 2025 is unwarranted. I suspect we’ll see a slow grind down over the next two or three years. I could be wrong of course.

  2. My father worked at an entry lvl warehouse job and my mother at a gas station. They bought a 1100 sqrft home on 1 acre lot in the countryside of mid/central California in the mid 90s. My wife and I make a combined 220k and we’re having to shop carefully. Good times

    1. Prices are just mirror reflection of the value of your money. This is what these central planners have done

  3. Let housing prices crash. It serves nobody any good if people can’t afford it. Only when people can afford goods and services at reasonable prices then we all benefits.

  4. This is a suckers market. If you buy a residential property for twice what it was purchased for 5 years ago you are going to spend a decade or more under water. A 50% reduction is inbound over next 24 months

    1. Black rock will buy all the distressed property that is liveable in. The rest of the USA will look like Detroit

    1. Good news, it was and still is a roof over your head. Once you factor in true costs of ownership, a single home will not be an “investment!” You’d be lucky to be flat with inflation. The last 4 years are not normal, and we would need another “crisis” to see it again. 😅 All the young super investors don’t get it yet.

  5. This guy is likely right. Not a repeat of 08, but no easy growth and real prices going down with inflation outpacing the growth of the nominal prices. So yes, houses may continue to go up 1-3%, but it will be less than inflation.

  6. Condos and dying cities that lack Jobs will start a depression. Rent in top tier cities are lowering rent that says it’s a reccession heading to something worse.

  7. I will be forever grateful to you Mrs Valerie Newell. You changed my whole life and I will continue to preach your name for the world to hear you saved me from huge financial debt with the little I had. Thank you Mrs Valerie Newell.

    1. Wow that’s great, amazing to see others who trade with Mrs Valerie Newell, I’m currently on my 5th trade with her and my portfolio has grown tremendously and all thanks to her.

    2. Mrs Valerie Newell strategy has normalised winning trades for me also. and it’s a huge milestone for me looking back to how it all started.

    3. Really you people know her? I was even thinking that I’m the only one she has helped walk through the fears and falls of trading.

    4. The very first time we tried, we invested $2000 and after a week, we received $7500. That really helped us a lot to pay up our bills.

  8. It shouldn’t take 17 minutes to explain why housing prices are expected to drop.
    The logic is simple: apply the average inflation rate—let’s say 5% annually—from 2019 to the present. That gives you a fair value that’s about 20–30% lower than current prices.
    If you’re paying more than that, you’re overpaying. If you’re paying 20–30% below today’s prices, that’s a fair deal.
    History shows that home prices are not immune to market corrections.
    Sure, the real estate market might not crash, but a correction is a 100% certainty.

    So if you don’t want to wait for prices to drop, at least ask for the inflation-adjusted fair value—don’t pay what greedy sellers are asking

    1. You must also factor in interest rates.
      Why would I a middle class person sell when I have a 3% interest rate and then have to get 7.5% loan.
      Unless I am getting a better paying job, I aren’t moving.

    2. The key is wages lagging and we are in the start of a recession. I’m not going to buy until we have a 30% correction.

  9. I won’t sugarcoat it this journey’s been brutal.
    Three accounts gone. Confidence wrecked. Feels like I’m running in circles chasing smoke. I’m not here for dreams, hype, or theory anymore. I need someone who actually trades with me. Side by side. Real time. That’s the only way I get out of this loop.

    1. The moment I started trading live with Ernest Lino, everything changed.
      No more guessing. No more after-the-fact breakdowns. It’s not theory it’s execution in real time, with him walking you through every entry. That shift? Absolute game changer. I finally felt like I wasn’t trading alone

    2. Fr bro, this market’s like that toxic ex shows you just enough love to keep you hooked, then wrecks you all over again.

    3. Venturing into trading as a newbie was very difficult due to lack of experience, which resulted in losing funds.
      But this same Ernest Lino restored hope; he’s a good man.

  10. I personally know homeowners walking away from their mortgages in Florida. They bought their houses in the $400k to $500k range. Because taxes and insurance they walk led away not caring. They are building new smaller houses in Tennessee.

  11. My main concern is how to survive all of these financial and political crisis, especially in light of the US political power scuffle. The government has really called things more difficult for its citizens, and we can’t sit back and bear all the consequences of the bad governance.

    1. Anyone who’s not in the financial market space right now is making a huge mistake. Simply get a Financial Advisor and make your money work for you

    2. You work for 42yrs to have $2m in your retirement, Meanwhile some people are putting just $20k in a meme coin for just few months and now they are multi millionaires I pray that anyone who reads this will be successful in life

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