Everyone Is WRONG About The Debasement Trade

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Cameron Long

Cameron Long

Cameron is a seasoned CFO and CPA with 31 years in finance. He created the AI Trader's Playbook to help everyday investors use AI to find high-confidence trades — in minutes, not hours.

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94 Comments

  1. Your wrong also ! If you think the Feds reports are accurate your thinking like they want. The Fed gives away hundreds of billions and reports zero!

    1. @@jasonbarlow8161nope they did it and said they wouldn’t report it for 3 years that was in 2009!! Still won’t say where 300 billion went. Why do you think they are separate from government and never been audited ?
      Your in La la land if you believe anything they say or your very young

    2. @@leontrades724 did they report the 300 billion that went to foreign banks in 2009? Case closed they report nothing but what they want to. They are not part of the government totally independent which why Trump can’t fire Powell !

  2. You will become rich in dollars when the dollars will be valued less than toilet paper. I don’t see anything good in our future

    1. ​​​@@stvrob6320exactly this. A bunch of talking heads running around screaming and never thought about currency was never designed to hold its value overtime. In fact that would be a terrible currency because you can’t have a thing that holds value and also facilitate trade because then everyone will be hoarding it.

      Gold standard failed because in the end everyone ended up hoarding it causing a liquidity crisis causing depression.

    2. ​@@stvrob6320exactly this. Currency was never designed to hold value long term and shouldn’t be, otherwise people will end up hoarding it. This is the issue under the gold standard that people ended up hoarding their currency causing a liquidity problem causing a depression.

    1. Fam can’t wrap his head around this dudes grift, the charts are compressed at the top, this is misdirection.

  3. If the debasement theory is incorrect and unimportant then the law of compound interest is also incorrect and unimportant.

    1. Logaritmic is related here to percentage upon percentage e.g. exponential growth.
      May I assume that he was pointing just to that?

    2. Yep, logs just flatten the data and hide rate of change. If you really wanted to flush out the rate of change then differentiate it.

    1. Keep electing idiots based on your emotions and you will get a garbage government. No one to blame but yourselves.

  4. The “debasement trade” has been termed to obfuscate that commodities are price correcting to the actual value of the dollar from 50+ years of price manipulation and gold is replacing the US treasury for reserves. The inflation trade would explode the prices even more if people found out how bad the dollar is now. Market cap exponentially increases (40%) with trillions hitting the market vs millions. High Asset prices are great until you really know why that it is priced in fiat. Prices/value of most production should be cheaper and assets are worth the same relatively. The reason I can easily drink coffee today is that the wealthy folks didn’t like paying so much and wanted to produce it cheaper by spending some assets to make it more efficient. So much so that I can afford cheaper coffee as a byproduct of the efficiency.

    1. Thats not it. U drink cheap coffee as us and the west is essentially using the global south as colonies. Secondly dollar has benefited from an almost unlimited demand being global reserve currency – enforced by our military onto others. This will all end and the “eggiciencies” you talk about will not help to change anything one bit as they are just imaginary

  5. The 80s was the dawn of computers seriously boosting productivity. There was far more than just the money supply going on. The problem is the money is getting sucked upwards and is not being spread amongst the majority of the economy’s participants.

    1. @@ilonabaier6042 not mean. they just need to spend it so it circulates. the economy is an organism and money is the blood. if it doesn’t circulate we feel the effects of the heart attack or stroke. Circulating money is necessary.

  6. Once again the mainstream media also know as the Cartoon Network is leading the sheep the direction Wall Street wants them to go.

    1. They create false narratives by courtsey of bigtech. Root of all evil in the world, not just monetary.

  7. In the 1960-1971 the Gov’t was printing more money than it had gold for due to the Vietnam War. World gov’ts caught on to it & were trading in there $$ for Gold at the Treasury & Nixon took the U.S. off the Gold Standard.

    1. You’re right, the truth is that no matter how bad the economy gets, we all have to make a decision to become successful, and I’m so happy I made a good decision by having a good investment that made me acquire my third house in August. I believe if things keep going well, I will retire early, having a good investment is everything.

    2. ⁠@Dannynugent How did you manage to achieve that level of growth?
      I’ve been doing everything I can to improve my investments. I want to retire in a few years and need better diversification.

    3. Well, it’s all through trading wisely which I didn’t do alone, that’s why I will be forever grateful to my coach, you changed my whole life and I will continue to preach on your behalf for the whole world to hear that you saved me from huge financial debt with just a small Investment, thank you Jihan Wu you’re such a life saver

    4. Venturing into trading as a newbie was very difficult due to lack of experience, which resulted in losing funds.
      But this same Jihan Wu restored hope; he’s a good man.

  8. It’s still exponential. It doesn’t matter that the growth rate is constant. It still means the dollar will become worthless. Until you see a negative slope, the dollar is still in trouble. And apparently capitalism grinds to a halt with deflation so that will never happen.

    1. @tomtom9184 “It still means the dollar will become worthless”
      Of course it will be ‘worth less’ than before. But it doesn’t mean “worthless” as in it has no value, which is what I presume you are suggesting.

    2. @@stvrob6320 There’s no purchasing power in a dollar left (from the gold backed one back in the days), so @tomtom9184 is right, worthless.

  9. The Maha Raja of the world is being overthrown. His economic infrastructures, currency, Laws and rules are being abandoned by the world. In the transit period, Gold and Silver have become King and continue to remain so till a New Maharaja establishes their hegemony on world resources and sets his own economic infrastructure and laws.

  10. The USA has abused its power over the SWIFT system and people holding treasuries (like Russia) so many countries are working toward avoiding the dollar. As they move in this direction they don’t need to hold so many treasuries. The US Government is selling like $2 trillion in new treasuries each year. At some point there will not be enough buyers at a “reasonable’ interest rate and so the Federal reserve will step in to “correct a market failure” and print money and buy bonds. In the past that lowered interest rates, but this time it will make people sell bonds faster. But the faster people sell bonds the faster the Fed will print money and buy more bonds. We will get a death spiral and the dollar will collapse. The market is anticipating this future situation. This is why the debasement trade will do so well. It is not the past money printing that is the problem, it is the out of control money printing that is coming that is the problem.

    1. I think that’s exactly the scenario. Most western experts are too arrogant and have their heads up their behinds to admit it.

    2. In addition to the $2 Trillion in new treasuries, the Treasury also has to sell more treasuries to roll over the previous treasuries that are maturing. This year that translated into an additional $9 Trillion in treasuries that had to be sold.

    3. @@robevans2114 The Federal government is spending nearly twice what they get in taxes. So it is not just the huge existing debt, but the ongoing new debt that makes this so there is no way out. If Elon and DOGE could actually have balanced the budget then it could have been possible to avoid the printing money death spiral, but DOGE was not able to make any significant change. As the Fed buys up the bonds with new money inflation will pick up, so the current deficit of $2 trillion per year will increase and the Fed will print faster and faster. Nothing stops this train. It is too late to start fixing it now.

  11. Why is it that nobody ever takes into account the population growth when it comes to money supply growth?

    1. @@kevin.malone I think they’re talking about the comparables that George was using, like the population growth in the late 1800’s would be explosive compared to the last 5 yrs. The lack of significant pop. growth in the last 5 yrs is what actually negates the comparable.

  12. Everyone jump forward to 16:40 to hear the real explanation. Gold is going up and up. Nobody trusts the USD and swift anymore. That’s the main reason behind gold jumping so high. Can you believe India, that was an enemy of China till about 9 months ago, have normalized relations with them and now are *settling payments in yuan*? That’s the Crux of the matter. Dollar is losing its reserve status.

  13. Interesting analysis, but strategy? What strategy? All I heard was the analytical basis for a strategy. Are we to infer one?

  14. You’re forgetting the main issue. The debt to GDP is unsustainable. Those previous years had a decent debt level. Today, the debt is 120% the GDP. Money supply with increasing productivity is what matters. Today it is just money supply without increasing productivity

    1. Not only that, but it creates an illusion that the economy is growing. What is actually happening is a wealth transfer, where the majority of the working class loses purchasing power. That’s why, despite all the tech and productivity gains today, you need to have a somewhat high income and a working partner to buy a house, while in the ’50s, a factory worker with 5 kids and a stay-at-home mom could afford to buy a decent house without working overtime.

    2. Don’t tell George that. He thinks business as usual with the government and fed. For someone who claims to want to end the fed he sure seems to support them.

  15. This time the difference is that the world is starting to ditch the dollar at an unprecedented pace because the US is untrustworthy. Central Banks are no longer keeping as much in dollars as they used to. This has less to do with “freezing assets” than what’s happening now. Look when gold prices started shooting up. Hint: it went parabolic in 2025.

  16. Very disappointing. Words after words and in the end, nothing has been said. Boring and meaningless. We are in a crisis PERIOD!

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